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Tasmanian Fires 2019

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HRVistaWeather
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Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Thu 24 Jan 2019 1:52 pm

We have had chocking smoke on/off for a week and a half now, from fires started by dry storms/lightning.
Tomorrow same type storms forecast and the already burning fires due to hit us sometime during the day, if the weather does not assist tomorrow it will barrel straight over the top of us and temp hot for here at 33c or more.
Luckily we have the place secure, though the chook's and sheep will be on their own as they have plenty of clear pasture to run around and get low.
Many of the residents in the Huon Valley area have moved out, I'll stay unless it gets too bad at this stage ok.
20190125fires.PNG
http://www.fire.tas.gov.au/a/63611
20190125treatmap.PNG
We are roughly where I placed a red dot above.
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Tony

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PaulMy
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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by PaulMy » Thu 24 Jan 2019 3:16 pm

Hi Tony,
There are many different weather events that affect our lives, but fire is the most dangerous and damaging. Stay safe!!

Regards,
Paul

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mcrossley
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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by mcrossley » Thu 24 Jan 2019 5:16 pm

Doesn't sound good, I hope everything is OK.

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Fri 25 Jan 2019 2:51 am

Hi,
Update all hunkered down and prepped (all Good) at this stage, the fire has flanked us though if the afternoon/evening wind shift does occur. It could result in the fire flank becoming a fire front, though still a possibility it would not reach us.
Just in stay and watch and prepped mode.

Max Temp so far 36.8°C not a record for here (last was Highest Temperature 41.4 °C at 14:36 on 04 January 2013).

Last Tuesday was a chocking day smoke wise, my 24/7 Time-lapse is not perfect but good to watch fast forward to 06:00hrs and watch till about 21:30 hrs. We where trapped in an inversion layer so the smoke could not escape the entire Huon Valley area, although we where not in danger of fire, good to watch for those who are into that. https://southfranklinweather.com/vidtemp/Tue1.mp4.
If above does not work try https://southfranklinweather.com/webcamip/Tue.mp4 though it will be overwritten next Tuesday.
Regards,
Tony

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by beteljuice » Fri 25 Jan 2019 3:32 am

Hi Tony - must a bit frightening after all the fire disaters around the world in the last 12 months :shock:

Both those links came back Forbidden: 403 to me.

Got to it: https://southfranklinweather.com/webcamip/Tue.mp4 via https://southfranklinweather.com/weathe ... elapse.php

BTW - do you archive your time-lapse, might have something for you ...Here and Here - literally just being coding it. Self housekeeping, just need files in the right name format.

Hope you suddenly don't get a surplus of roast chicken :groan:
Image
......................Imagine, what you will KNOW tomorrow !

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HRVistaWeather
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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Fri 25 Jan 2019 5:20 am

Hi beteljuice,
:lol: Thanks matey, no I think the chook's will be OK.
I just took some extra feed down for the Sheep.
Adjusted the Webcam to look more to SSE over the Cottage we rent out below us and currently the sheep are on far right paddock, they normally use the big paddock behind the main house but they tend to look for lowest ground when smoke is around.

I fixed the 403 issue and I do achieve this time-lapse but I like high quality (well as best I can reduce without too much grain) so as a result my files are large, so only store last 7 days online.

I'll take up your offer of your concept though for future ref as "GUESS WHAT" the site will be shutting down for good in next couple of weeks or so.

My back has finally failed and now have other health issues so as I can no longer maintain the 6.8 acres myself nor afford to pay someone to do it, we have been forced to sell up and find somewhere smaller (hopefully not too far away , but still in Tasmania. We are about a third of the way through prepping for sale, so all house contents now in the 16x6 shed awaiting sale (some gone) we are down to 3 mattresses and 3 camping chairs and some kitchen stuff in the house.

Painters about a third done(but not working today because of fire), then we get floor coverings done then main garden areas tidied up tonnes of work to to there. then if when well sell we will rent until we find somewhere else to live, so will be a while before I attempt a new location station.

I think I'll find it hard not to at least set up an inhouse station and definitely my wxsim forecast software.

I'll ref this post in future regards the archive script.
Kind regards,
Tony

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by PaulMy » Fri 25 Jan 2019 2:13 pm

Wishing you all the best Tony and hopefully you will still have a chance to post and keep on contact.

Looking at your time-lapse, while we have been down under in AU about a dozen years ago it still looks very strange to see that globe in the sky go the wrong other way...


Enjoy,
Paul

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by beteljuice » Fri 25 Jan 2019 4:37 pm

My back has finally failed and now have other health issues ....
So sorry to hear that time is taking it's toll.

Big life style changes ahead, enjoy them !!!!

Your site has always been well maintained and presented, presumeably it will also be a loss to the local community :(
Image
......................Imagine, what you will KNOW tomorrow !

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HRVistaWeather
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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Fri 25 Jan 2019 6:30 pm

PaulMy wrote:
Fri 25 Jan 2019 2:13 pm
Wishing you all the best Tony and hopefully you will still have a chance to post and keep on contact.

Looking at your time-lapse, while we have been down under in AU about a dozen years ago it still looks very strange to see that globe in the sky go the wrong other way...


Enjoy,
Paul
Hi Paul,
Thanks and yes I imagine I will after settling down.
Yes I imagine it would look strange :D .
Kind Regards,
Tony

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Fri 25 Jan 2019 6:34 pm

beteljuice wrote:
Fri 25 Jan 2019 4:37 pm

Big life style changes ahead, enjoy them !!!!

Your site has always been well maintained and presented, presumeably it will also be a loss to the local community :(
Hi beteljuice,
Yes daunting times ahead, though looking forward to it, but sad to leave this property, I will miss the view big time.
Thank you greatly appreciated and yes many locals have mentioned that already.
Kind Regards,
Tony

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Sun 27 Jan 2019 9:54 am

Hi,
Still chocking on smoke. Fires behind us though even if it runs over the top of us we should be fine.
Talk about extremes, look at my forecast for coming days : Snow not likely (Hartz Mt near us is 1253mtr asl and Hobarts Mt Wellington is 1271mtr asl, but Cold front if it eventuates will confuse things, all cold weather stuff packed away for the move :shock:
Just had 0.2ml whoppee, then it stopped, fire glow brightening as night draws on.

Tonight

Fair to partly cloudy in the evening, becoming partly cloudy after midnight. Low 12°C. Wind northwest around 10 kph.

Monday

Mostly sunny in the morning, becoming partly to mostly sunny in the afternoon. Warm. High 27°C. UV index up to 10. Wind north-northwest around 13 kph, gusting to 30 kph, in the morning, becoming 19 kph, gusting to 33 kph, in the afternoon.

Monday night

Cloudy. Low 15°C. Wind north-northwest around 12 kph, gusting to 31 kph, in the evening, becoming 6 kph after midnight.

Tuesday

Partly to mostly cloudy. Warm. High 29°C. UV index up to 8. Wind northwest around 12 kph, gusting to 27 kph.

Tuesday night

Fair in the evening, becoming clear after midnight. Low 12°C. Wind northwest around 4 kph.

Wednesday

Partly to mostly sunny in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy in the afternoon. Unusually hot. High 31°C. UV index up to 8. Wind northwest around 8 kph, gusting to 24 kph.

Wednesday night

Cloudy in the evening, becoming mostly cloudy to cloudy after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of rain in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Thunderstorms very likely, some possibly severe. Low 12°C. Wind west-southwest around 4 kph in the evening, becoming 9 kph after midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Precipitation mostly between 2 and 5 mm. Minimum snow level 1200 meters above sea level.

Thursday

Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Scattered thundershowers possible. High 16°C. UV index up to 8. Wind west-southwest around 17 kph, gusting to 33 kph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.

Thursday night

Partly cloudy in the evening, becoming clear after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of rain. Scattered thundershowers possible. Cool. Low 8°C. Wind west around 11 kph, gusting to 31 kph. Chance of precipitation less than 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm. Minimum snow level 1150 meters above sea level.

Friday

Partly to mostly sunny in the morning, becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon. Patchy light fog in the morning. High 20°C. UV index up to 9. Wind west-southwest around 11 kph, gusting to 24 kph.

Friday night

Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. Low 10°C. Wind southwest around 4 kph in the evening, becoming north-northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation less than 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.

Saturday

Partly to mostly sunny in the morning, becoming mostly sunny in the afternoon. Warm. High 25°C. UV index up to 9. Wind north-northeast around 6 kph in the morning, becoming east in the afternoon.

Saturday night

Clear in the evening, becoming fair after midnight. Low 12°C. Wind northeast around 7 kph in the evening, becoming north after midnight.

Sunday

Mostly cloudy to cloudy in the morning, becoming cloudy in the afternoon. A chance of rain in the afternoon. High 22°C. UV index up to 4. Wind northwest around 7 kph. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.

Sunday night

Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming partly to mostly cloudy after midnight. Patchy light fog after midnight. A slight chance of rain after midnight. Low 13°C. Wind west-southwest around 6 kph. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.

Monday

Partly to mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain. High 21°C. UV index up to 8. Wind west-southwest around 7 kph in the morning, becoming south-southwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation less than 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.

Monday night

Partly to mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming partly cloudy after midnight. A slight chance of rain. Low 12°C. Wind south-southwest around 3 kph in the evening, becoming west-northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation less than 20 percent. Precipitation mostly less than 2 mm.
201901272.PNG
20190127.PNG
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Tony

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by PaulMy » Sun 27 Jan 2019 2:34 pm

Where do I see cold in that 7 day forecast ;) We haven't seen 8°C for nearly a month and that would be a nice relief for us.
all cold weather stuff packed away for the move
What does that consist of, long sleeve shirt and socks :lol:


Glad you've missed most of the direct fire effect, and stay cool.

Enjoy,
Paul

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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by HRVistaWeather » Fri 05 Apr 2019 5:00 am

Update : Fires well and truly gone and house prep for sale done.
Weather Website shut down just after fires were stabilised, in order to concentrate on house/property.
Still running website internal using xampp, till we hopefully sell and move to new place where ever that may be, looking at St Helens area North East Coast Tasmania.

House finally on market last Monday (no offers yet, so still in limbo till it sells).
https://www.realestate.com.au/property- ... -130882074

https://youtu.be/GkwXcmvJyco

When I do start up again I'll be looking at all the options for best performance setup and cheapest running cost for hardware.
South Franklin Weather Tasmania xampp.png
Kind regards,
Tony
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Re: Tasmanian Fires 2019

Post by PaulMy » Fri 05 Apr 2019 1:52 pm

Glad everyone and everything is safe Tony.

Good luck on your sale and relocation.
Make sure the new place is a great place and view for observing so you can share...

By the way, our temp on the weekend is going to be warmer than yours :P

Enjoy,
Paul

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